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- The Psychology Of Money: How Your Mind Is Messing With Your Money
The Psychology Of Money: How Your Mind Is Messing With Your Money
Conned, Robbed & Confused With Your Own Mind. The Greatest Inside Job.
Let's just take a second to talk about the most unpredictable, wildly irrational, and flat-out baffling force in the financial world. And no, it's not the stock market or cryptocurrency. As a matter of fact, it's much closer to home—your brain.
You think you've got this whole money thing down, but then your brain has other plans.
It's not just a tool for higher-order thinking and solving complex problems; it's also a minefield of biases, emotions, and irrational tendencies that can wreak havoc on your finances.
A deep dive into the psychology of money reveals just how understanding your mental quirks could save you from several traps.
Loss Aversion: Your Brain Hates Losing More Than It Loves Winning
Suppose you find a nice, crispy $100 bill lying on the sidewalk. great day, right? Alright, now close your eyes and imagine you just lost $100 out of your wallet.
That sinking feeling in your stomach? It's much stronger than the thrill of finding that money right? That's called loss aversion, and it can be a powerful driving force in decision-making.
So, because your brain is wired to avoid losses at all costs, you often tend to make financial decisions that are too conservative.
That means holding on to losing investments for too long, skipping risks when the odds are actually in your favor, or tearing up opportunities for big gains with too much caution.
The 2008 financial crisis provides a powerful example of loss aversion in action.
During the run-up to the crisis, many homeowners saw the value of their properties rapidly increase, and they became highly confident in the market's continual rise.
However, as the housing bubble burst, prices plummeted. Many homeowners, driven by loss aversion, refused to sell their homes even as the value continued to fall because they couldn't bear the thought of locking in their losses.
Instead of selling early, many held onto their properties, hoping the market would rebound, only to suffer even more significant losses as prices dropped further.
This behavior was tied to the psychological pain of loss—people overvalued what they had initially paid for their homes and couldn't accept the lower market price, which led to even worse outcomes.
“The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.”
This quote highlights the importance of understanding the value of investments rather than simply reacting to price fluctuations, which loss aversion can often cause. While it's natural to want to protect what you have, sometimes it’s important to take that tiniest calculated risk and not always play so safe.
Confirmation Bias: You Believe What You Want to Believe
“What the human being is best at doing is interpreting all new information so that their prior conclusions remain intact.”
None of us doesn’t like being right, and the brain is no exception.
Confirmation bias means continuing to look for supporting information in case one has already made up his or her mind about something, while everything that says the opposite should be ignored.
This might be especially dangerous when it comes to investing.
Buffett’s words capture the essence of confirmation bias—our tendency to favor information that supports our pre-existing beliefs, which can lead to poor financial decisions.
You will most likely be drawn to the articles, news, and analysis that prove a point and discard those indicating the contrary. What's the problem here?
You could be doubling down on a bad investment simply because you are not getting to see both sides.
One must always make it a point to seek out opposing views and take them into consideration before making any financial decisions.
Remember, a well-rounded perspective is your best defense against poor judgment.
Overconfidence: You Think You Know More Than You Do
We all like to think of ourselves as fairly intelligent, but overconfidence can lead to some pretty dumb financial decisions.
Overconfidence bias is overestimating knowledge or ability. It leads you to taking unjustified risks or making uninformed decisions.
“The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital from your own actions.”
– Charlie Munger
Munger warns that overconfidence, which leads to taking unnecessary risks or making uninformed decisions, is one of the greatest threats to your financial well-being.
Investing is complicated; even pros sometimes get it very wrong. Overconfidence is overestimating one's ability, leading to underestimating significant risks and overlooking important details as you jump into an investment without proper due diligence.
The key is to stay humble, get your research done, and appreciate your limitations.
Herd Mentality: Everyone Else Is Doing It, So It Must Be Right
Ever notice how people tend to follow the crowd, especially in uncertain situations? That's herd mentality at work.
In the case of money, this can result in some disastrous cases when money is invested into a market bubble because of everyone else or in selling during a market downtrend.
“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”
This famous Buffett quote underscores the danger of herd mentality. Following the crowd can often lead to buying high and selling low, the opposite of a successful investment strategy.
Just because everyone else is jumping on the bandwagon doesn't mean that it is a good idea. Actually, by the time the herd gets in most of the time, it is just too late to have a chance at any profit coming your way.
Always do your research, believe in your analysis, and don't be afraid to run against traffic where the situation calls for it.
Anchoring: The Magic of First Impressions
“In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable.”
Anchoring is when an individual puts too much value on one source of information, usually the first seen or heard.
In financial terms, that could be an initial stock price, the first estimate of a house's worth, or how much someone else made off a particular investment.
Arnott's quote reflects the idea that anchoring to familiar or initial information can lead to missed opportunities.
The problem is that, after such an anchor is set, it becomes hard to readjust your thinking after new information comes in.
For instance, if you happen to see a stock at $50 per share, you could use that price as a mental benchmark and now be resistant to buying it if it goes up in price and selling it if the price declines, even though the investment fundamentally changed.
What's key? Be aware of anchoring, and be ready, willing, and able to change your thinking when presented with new information.
Wrapping It Up: Taming the Money Monster in Your Mind
In a nutshell, understanding the psychology of money is what the user manual looks like for the financial software running in your head.
Being in a situation to recognize some of these biases and tendencies helps you make rational, informed decisions and avoid some common traps that can derail financial goals.
Remember, your brain is an amazing tool, but when it comes to money matters, it's seldom on your side.
Continue being in a watchful state of mind, question your assumptions, and don't let your mind play tricks on your money. The more you comprehend these psychological pitfalls, the more proficient you'll become at navigating the financial world with poise and clarity.
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